Executive Summary

Pursuant to Section 23 of the EPIRA, the DUs are mandated to submit their annual DDP to the DOE and in the case of ECs, through the NEA. The DUs shall prepare and submit their DDP in accordance with DOE Department Circular No. DC2021-03-0003.

In 2023, 145 out of 147 DUs have submitted their DDP to the DOE. From June to October 2023, the DOE, in collaboration with the NEA, conducted a series of DDP deliberations to assist the DUs in the preparation and finalization of a comprehensive DDP.

The 2023-2032 DDP contains the regional and individual DUs one-page infographic profile showing the 10-year outlook of the demand and supply incorporating the requirements scheduled for CSP. It also includes the general information, actual number of customers and energy sales per sector, and capital expenditures projects for sub transmission, distribution and substation facilities.

This edition also provides the ten-year forecast on the supply and demand outlook, energy sales and number of customers per Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao. The general summary of the DUs’ supply and demand requirements, energy sales, customers, capital expenditures projects and CSP are also highlighted in this 2023 DDP.

Published on: 08 July 2021

Executive Summary

The 2019-2028 Distribution Development Plan (DDP) contains the one-page infographic profile of 144 out of 151 Distribution Utilities (DUs), showing the supply- demand outlook and energy requirements for the ten-year planning period. It features the Power Supply Procurement Plan, which contains the proposed schedule for the Competitive Selection Process (CSP) to be conducted by DUs to procure power supply requirements to ensure the continuous provision of electricity supply to the consumers in a least cost-manner as what was mandated by Republic Act No. 9136. For those DUs without schedule for CSP, the power supply deficit in MW shortfall for the corresponding period is indicated.

This DDP also featured the 2018 actual number of customers and energy sales per customer class. It also includes comparison using percentage difference of the 2018 projection on number of customers, peak demand, electricity purchased, energy sales and system loss based on the 2018-2027 DDP versus the 2018 actual data based on the 2019-2028 DDP.

In 2018, the DUs registered a peak demand of 13,899 MW and is projected to increase from 14,602 MW in 2019 to 21,300 MW in 2028 with an annual average growth rate (AAGR) of 4.36% for the ten-year planning horizon. Luzon DUs recorded the highest peak demand in 2018 at 10,279 MW while Mindanao and Visayas DUs reported peak demand of 1,835 MW and 1,785 MW, respectively.

For the energy requirements, the DUs procured a total of 83,573 GWh in 2018 which is estimated to rise from 88,040 GWh in 2019 to 129,815 GWh in 2028 with an AAGR of 4.50%. Likewise, the DUs has a total energy sales of 77,409 GWh in 2018 which is seen to increase to 119,231 GWh by 2028 with an AAGR of 4.42% from its 2018 level.

With regard to the number of customers, there were 19.9 million customers being served by the DUs in 2018 wherein majority at 91.97% are residential connections, commercial customers at 6.17%, industrial customers at 0.23%, and customers classified as Others accounts for the 1.62%. With an AAGR of 3.86%, customer connections is forecasted to increase from 20.1 million in 2019 to 29.0 million in 2028.

Published on: 16 December 2019

Executive Summary

This 14th edition contains a snapshot of the major information provided in the 2017- 2026 Distribution Development Plan submission of 144 distribution utilities (DUs). Primarily featured is the 10-year outlook on the demand and supply requirements of the DUs with breakdown of the contracted supply mix, showing the potential investment opportunities for generation companies. Also highlighted are the DUs annual average growth rate (AAGR) of peak demand over the 10-year planning horizon and the drivers of the projected load growth, as well as the five-yearplanned capital expenditure projects and financingrequirements to support these developments.

The 2017-2026 DDP also presents the actual DUs energy sales in 2016 and projections by 2026, including the corresponding percentage share per customer class namely: residential, commercial, industrial and other customer. It also shows the potential renewable energy resources in the DUs franchise area, in preparation for the Renew-able Portfolio Standards and Green Energy Option Program.

Another content of this DDP is a comparison of the estimated values for 2016 on the DUs number of customers, number of households, energy sales and system loss as submitted in their 2016-2025 DDP vis a vis the actual 2016 data as reflectedin the 2017-2026 DDP.

In 2016, the DUs registered a peak demand of 12,646 MW in 2016 and is projected to have 4.95% AAGR over the ten-year planning period with peak demand to reach 13,366 MW in 2017 to 20,503 MW in 2026. Likewise, DUs have sold a total of 61,604 GWh in 2016 and is forecasted to increase to 112,182 GWh by 2026 with an AAGR of 6.22% from its 2016 level. Breakdown of the electricity sales per sector are as follows: residential customer at 42%, commercial sector at 32%, industrial sector at 23%, and customers classifiedas Others account for 3%.

The DUs will be needing about PHP951.16 billion to implement the following infra-structure projects, including electrificationand network and non-network projects, to sustain the above projections while ensuring the reliability of the power supply: (i) 19,934 MVA additional substation capacity; (ii) 5,156 ckt-km for the expansion and rehabilitation of sub-transmission lines; and (iii) 39,944 ckt-km for the expansion and rehabilitation of distribution lines.