Power Development Plan 2020-2040
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The PDP, 2020-2040 serves as a comprehensive guide for industry stakeholders about the future landscape of the Philippines’ electric power industry. It is composed of three chapters summarized as follows:
Chapter 1. Power Sector Highlights, 2019-2020 assesses the Philippines’ power situation in terms of key power-related statistics and identifies the major policies and programs promulgated during the transition years 2019-2020. In this introductory chapter, the impacts of COVID-19 pandemic and natural calamities in the power sector were broadly discussed, along with the mitigating measures and actions undertaken within the industry.
Chapter 2. Power Demand and Supply Outlook, 2020-2040 provides the annual peak demand forecast and power supply expansion plan on a per technology basis up to 2040 under multiple scenarios. In line with the DOE’s commitment towards a cleaner energy transition, the national renewable energy (RE) power generation mix target of 35% by 2030 and the aspirational target of 50% by 2040 were adopted. The country’s peak demand is expected to increase by almost four folds from 2020 to 2040 which is equivalent to about 7% growth annually. To meet this demand and the aspirational 50% RE target, the Philippines’ installed capacity should increase by about five times from 22,317 MW in 2019 to 114,601 MW in 2040, coming from existing, committed, and new build capacities. The transmission projects which are expected to support and accommodate new power plant capacities are likewise identified in this section for the reference of prospective investors and key stakeholders.
Chapter 3. Power Sector Roadmap, 2021-2040 rolls-out the updated power sector roadmaps for generation, transmission, distribution, supply, electricity market, off-grid development, and total electrification. Overarching policies and programs, such as smart grid and power sector database enhancement, were also highlighted. These roadmaps are anchored on three main goals by 2040 namely:
- Energy security, resiliency, affordability, and sustainability;
- Transparent and fair playing field in the power industry; and
- Electricity access for all.
The successful implementation of the plans, policies, and programs embedded in this PDP update entails the strong collaboration and synergy between the government, power industry players, and all energy stakeholders.
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Power Development Plan 2017-2040
Power Development Plan 2017-2040
The Power Development Plan (PDP) 2017-2040 takes-off from the published PDP, 2016-2040.
The country’s electricity demand is projected to grow by about 5% annually and will reach a total of 49,287 MW by 2040. To meet this demand including reserve requirements, a total of 43,765 MW additional capacities must come online. The DOE stands with its technology neutral position were all types of technologies are welcome as long as they are efficient, reliable, and able to provide the least-cost option and flexibility in the system.
In addition, this PDP also presents the accomplishments and implementation status of the Power Sector Roadmaps embodied in the PDP, 2016-2040. These sectoral roadmaps remain anchored on the Department’s mandate to ensure the delivery of stable, secure, sufficient, sustainable and accessible energy; and a vision towards a globally-competitive energy industry which creates wealth and transforms lives of the Filipinos.
PDP, 2017-2040 is the master plan which integrates all the development plans for the generation, transmission, distribution, and supply sectors for the grid and off-grid areas. It also outlines the recent developments in the electricity market, the off-grid and missionary areas, household electrification, and the institutional support mechanisms of the Department. It contains the following portions: 2017 Power Demand and Supply Highlights; (Chapter II); 2017 Power Demand and Supply Outlook, Assessment (Chapter III); Power Sector Roadmap 2040: 2017 Implementation Status Updates (Chapters IV); and Way Forward (Chapter V).
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Power Development Plan 2016-2040
Powering the Nation
This Power Development Plan serves as the path in powering the nation from 2016 and beyond. The cover depicts the invaluable role of the electric power industry in fuelling and sustaining the country’s economic growth and development.
The Department of Energy (DOE) envisions for the Philippine energy industry to be globally competitive in utilizing energy in Filipino communities through clean, efficient, robust and sustainable systems in order to create wealth and transform the lives of the Filipinos. Recognizing its role, the DOE reaffirms its commitment - to ensure quality, reliability, security, and affordabiliity of the supply of electric power.
Through an integrated approach, the Power Development Plan 2016-2040 encompasses all subsectors - generation, transmission, distribution and supply; as well as the development of the market, other institutional support mechanisms and electrification roadmaps.
Contents
- Overview and Executive Summary
- Philippine Electricity Profile
- Five-Year Performance Assessment
- Demand-Supply Outlook, 2016-2040
- Power Sector Roadmap
- Annexes
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2009 - 2030 Power Development Plan
Energy and Peak Demand Forecast
Electricity demand is the basic component of development planning as it integrates different electric power subsectors: distribution, transmission and generation. It also indicates the minimum required capacity and production in terms of watt (w) and watt-hour (Wh), respectively.
The energy and demand forecasts for the Luzon grid is more comprehensive compared to Visayas and Mindanao grids as it comprised about 74.0 percent of the nationwide demand vis-à-vis its contribution to the major economic structural changes, being the center of industry and commerce.
View complete PDF file: 2009-2030 Power Development Plan